Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.050173 0.054542 0.058971 0.063790 0.068876 0.074079 0.079796
2025-05-25 0.041825 0.048102 0.054706 0.062144 0.070260 0.078821 0.088507
2025-06-01 0.035886 0.043438 0.051651 0.061184 0.071882 0.083455 0.096861
2025-06-08 0.032842 0.041544 0.051280 0.062866 0.076165 0.090845 0.108162
2025-06-15 0.030054 0.039610 0.050582 0.063936 0.079574 0.097138 0.118183
2025-06-22 0.027525 0.037714 0.049701 0.064595 0.082353 0.102607 0.127212
2025-06-29 0.025068 0.035678 0.048457 0.064647 0.084278 0.106990 0.134924
2025-07-06 0.023837 0.035042 0.048809 0.066536 0.088326 0.113828 0.145508
2025-07-13 0.021653 0.033016 0.047290 0.065999 0.089343 0.117001 0.151723
2025-07-20 0.020028 0.031597 0.046427 0.066182 0.091161 0.121080 0.158990
2025-07-27 0.018900 0.030754 0.046231 0.067145 0.093901 0.126251 0.167571
2025-08-03 0.018146 0.030365 0.046582 0.068776 0.097459 0.132426 0.177394
2025-08-10 0.015853 0.027696 0.043813 0.066292 0.095787 0.132179 0.179451
2025-08-17 0.014471 0.026242 0.042608 0.065801 0.096617 0.135015 0.185300
2025-08-24 0.013230 0.024907 0.041491 0.065364 0.097469 0.137854 0.191150
2025-08-31 0.012869 0.024881 0.042197 0.067394 0.101565 0.144825 0.202216
2025-09-07 0.012300 0.024488 0.042349 0.068645 0.104626 0.150491 0.211676
2025-09-14 0.011629 0.023887 0.042163 0.069398 0.107010 0.155291 0.220064
2025-09-21 0.010826 0.023013 0.041527 0.069482 0.108467 0.158884 0.226926
2025-09-28 0.010585 0.023053 0.042242 0.071481 0.112531 0.165888 0.238188
2025-10-05 0.009714 0.021965 0.041204 0.070923 0.113073 0.168274 0.243521
2025-10-12 0.009090 0.021257 0.040708 0.071118 0.114627 0.171980 0.250564
2025-10-19 0.008699 0.020932 0.040784 0.072133 0.117310 0.177182 0.259560